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Finally, we consider the mechanism by which heighted uncertainty may have contributed to the shift in the Beveridge curve. Specifically, we examine how much policy uncertainty reduced the job recruiting intensity of businesses. We use our model to perform a statistical exercise that explores the relationship of policy uncertainty, unemployment, vacancies, and a measure of recruiting intensity based on the methods described in Davis, Faberman, and Haltiwanger (2013). We find that, all else equal, a surprise increase in policy uncertainty leads to a statistically significant decline in recruiting intensity.
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holipharma.com Banks, here in New York, if I needed access to capital in the past I had to supplicate myself, prostate myself before big banks and say, “Please, please, please give me money.’ Now we don’t have to do that; we’ve got Kickstarter and we’ve got Kiva as democratizing access to capital. We’ve got forces that are democratizing work. One of my friends, again from the Bay area-Stanford community, started [SOMA Source] taking micro tasks and using them in developing nations, giving people internet hook ups and liberating their economic potential. I’ve got friends that are liberating in the United States using technology to better monetize their very being with collaborative consumption from Uber and AirBNB and Lift. I’m seeing in every sector education and how online Stanford courses are now being taken by people in developing nations who are outperforming Stanford students. We’re creating greater access, we’re creating greater equality. Somebody, just because they’re in a certain geography or a certain race or a certain sexual orientation, or certain socio-economic status, are being liberated. In fact, I listened to a presentation from a guy who has a company called Huge, which I thought should be my company given my size, who said, “Look, we’re talking people with a formal education in the ninth grade. But we’re seeing that people who are learning coding in college half of that stuff is not even useful anymore.’ The whole way we think about education is wrong. In fact, we don’t have an unemployment problem in America; we have a training and education problem in America. They were hiring people with six figure salaries who maybe only had a ninth grade education because that’s how demand people in coding is. Why isn’t our education system reflecting this demand that we have?